• U.S. Big Business Outlook

    Business: Big, Small, Micro & Startup Business Assessment.  The Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook predicts an equal probability (33.3%) for economic improvement, maintaining the status quo, or an economic slowdown in 2018.   This assessment is based on a detailed analysis of six strategic considerations: Economy, Business, Labor Force, Governance, Domestic Disruptors and International Disruptors. This posting deals with the outlook for U.S. Big Businesses.  The entire 60-Page Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook report can be downloaded free from the Jobenomics Library ...
  • Economy: Consumer Confidence, Debt & Deficits, and Inflation

    Economy: Consumer Confidence, Debt & Deficits, and Inflation.  The Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook predicts an equal probability (33.3%) for economic improvement, maintaining the status quo, or an economic slowdown in 2018.   This assessment is based on a detailed analysis of six strategic considerations: Economy, Business, Labor Force, Governance, Domestic Disruptors and International Disruptors. This posting deals with three macroeconomic factors impacting the Economy: Consumer Confidence, Debt & Deficits, and Inflation.  The entire 60-Page Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook report ...
  • Economy: GDP Growth and Stock Markets

    Economy: GDP Growth and Stock Markets. The Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook predicts an equal probability (33.3%) for economic improvement, maintaining the status quo or an economic slowdown in 2018.  This assessment is based on a detailed analysis of six strategic considerations: Economy, Business, Labor Force, Governance, Domestic Disruptors and International Disruptors. This posting deals with two macroeconomic factors impacting the Economy: GDP Growth and Stock Markets.  The entire 60-Page Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook report can be downloaded free ...
  • 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook

    Overview (Part 1 of 7):  Jobenomics deals with the economics of small business and job creation.  In addition to our monthly reports, this report deals with Jobenomics view of the state of the U.S. economy and how our economy might fair in 2018.  As indicated in this 60-page analysis, Jobenomics sees as many upsides as downsides to our continued economic prosperity.  As shown below on Jobenomics 2018 U.S. Economic Outlook Matrix, Jobenomics predicts an equal probability (33.3%) for economic improvement, ...
  • State of the U.S. Economy January 2018

    The Trump Administration’s bold economic and job creation vision (i.e., sustained 4% GDP growth and 25 million new jobs) is progressing as planned, albeit with some bumps in the road.  In December 2017, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the U.S. labor force added 148,000 new jobs, which is below the 250,000 new job threshold advocated by most economists.  President Trump’s first 12-months in office averaged 171,000 per month, which is still below the threshold but significantly better than ...
  • Jobenomics December 2017 Employment & GDP Report

    Executive Summary.   The Trump Administration’s bold economic and job creation vision (i.e., sustained 4% GDP growth and 25 million new jobs) is progressing as planned, albeit with some bumps in the road.  As addressed in this analysis, recent employment and economic reports present a positive but mixed picture on President Trump’s progress during his first 11-months in office. Download free 13-page report. On the positive side of the economic and labor force ledger, the Bureau of Labor statistics reported that 228,000 ...
  • Q3 2017 U.S. Labor Force & Unemployment Report

    Download free 115-page Jobenomics Comprehensive U.S. Labor Force & Unemployment Report Q3 2017 – 31 October 2017.   While U.S. stock market, unemployment and consumer confidence statistics suggest that the U.S. economy is doing well, underlying economic, labor force and income/wage statistics present an entirely different picture.  This dichotomy is discussed in two comprehensive Jobenomics reports published quarterly.  Both reports take a deep dive on economic, community, business and workforce statistics, characteristics, challenges and trends. This 115-page Jobenomics U.S. Labor Force & ...
  • Jobenomics Monthly Employment & GDP Report

    Executive Summary.  The Trump Administration’s bold economic and job creation vision (i.e., sustained 4% GDP growth and 25 million new jobs) is progressing as planned albeit with some bumps in the road.  As addressed in this analysis, recent employment and economic reports present a positive but mixed picture on President Trump’s progress during his first 10-months in office. On the bright side, 261,000 new jobs were created.  250,000 new jobs per month is the standard accepted by most economists to ...
  • Jobenomics Employment & GDP Report: 9 October 2017

    Executive Summary.  The Trump Administration’s bold economic and job creation vision (i.e., sustained 4% GDP growth and 25 million new jobs) is facing stiff headwinds from the opposition, Washington and even the weather (Hurricanes).  This vision is likely to fall short unless the Trump Administration places as much attention on small and micro-business creation and sustainment as it does on big business.  As addressed in this analysis, recent employment and economic reports present a mixed picture on President Trump’s progress ...
  • Jobenomics August 2017 Employment Report Analysis

    Executive Summary. The two primary sources for U.S. labor force data are the monthly U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary, a monthly summary of all U.S. government and private sector employment, and the ADP National Employment Report, a monthly survey of employment by 400,000 U.S. private sector businesses by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics.  For August 2017, the BLS reported that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by only 156,000 in August, which is ...
  • Jobenomics July 2017 Employment Report Analysis

    Executive Summary. The two primary sources for U.S. labor force data are the monthly U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary, a monthly summary of all U.S. government and private sector employment, and the ADP National Employment Report, a monthly survey of employment by 400,000 U.S. private sector businesses by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics. Jobenomics Analysis of the BLS Employment Situation Summary Report.  To get a strategic perspective of the state of the ...
  • Q2 2017 GDP Growth 2.6%

    Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.6% in the second quarter of 2017 (Q2 2017) according to the “advance” estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis on 28 July 2017.   2.6% is a positive sign for the U.S. economy and a potential pivot point for President Trump’s bold plan to grow GDP to an annual rate of 4%, create 25 million new jobs and get the “American economy back on track”.  To ...
  • Jobenomics Analysis of June 2017 U.S. Employment Reports

    Executive Summary: The two primary sources for U.S. labor force data are the monthly U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary, a monthly summary of all U.S. government and private sector employment, and the ADP National Employment Report, a monthly survey of employment by 400,000 U.S. private sector businesses by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics. Recent U.S. Labor Force Gains and Losses (BLS Data) In regard to the working population, the BLS Employment Situation ...
  • Analysis of May 2017 U.S. Employment Reports

    Executive Summary:  May’s employment reports painted a mixed picture for the Trump Administration.   The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary stated in May 2017 the United States produced a total of 138,000 new jobs—a number well below the 250,000 new job standard advocated by most economists.  However, the ADP National Employment Report summary reported that the U.S. private sector created 253,000 new jobs of which 77.5% were generated by American small businesses.    In regard to the ...
  • Jobenomics U.S. Employment Analysis: 5 May 2017

    Executive Summary:  The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary stated that in April 2017 the United States produced 211,000 new jobs.  The ADP National Employment Report summary reported 177,000 new jobs.  Both numbers are below the 250,000 monthly new job threshold set by most economists.  In regard to unemployment situation, the BLS reported 146,000 less people “officially unemployed”, which was offset by 162,000 voluntary departures from the labor force to alternative lifestyles or public assistance.  Last month’s ...
  • Jobenomics U.S. Employment Analysis: 15 April 2017

    Jobenomics U.S. Employment Analysis: 15 April 2017 The two primary sources for U.S. labor force data are the monthly U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summary, a monthly summary of all U.S. government and private sector employment, and the ADP National Employment Report, a monthly survey of employment by 400,000 U.S. private sector businesses by the ADP Research Institute in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics.  The BLS’ March Situation Summary reported a disappointing 98,000 new jobs, which was less ...
  • Lawyer at Labor’s Helm

    President Trump’s New Economy Challenge (Part 14 of 20).   One might think that the U.S. Department of Labor (DoL) main purpose would be a forward-looking organization that positions the U.S. labor force for major disruptive trends like the emerging digital economy, the contingent workforce and the massive exodus of able-bodied workers.  Unfortunately, the opposite seems to be the case.  By its own admission, the DoL “fosters and promotes the welfare” of the America’s 140 million workers and enforces several hundred ...
  • Stock Markets and The Fed

    Download PDF Version: Stock Market and The Fed 1 July 2013 1 July 2013 US stock market performance has been phenomenal since the depths of the Great Recession.  Since March 2009, all three major US indices (Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ) have experienced a 4 ½ year bull market as shown below—up as high as 163%. The big questions facing economists, policy-makers, opinion-leaders and investors are whether (1) this bull market will continue, (2) can the stock markets operate ...